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June 8, 2026

The global race for state-level stablecoins

The global race for state-level stablecoins

In 2026, stablecoins are no longer a niche tool for crypto enthusiasts. They have become next-generation financial infrastructure that central banks, major commercial banks, and governments around the world are taking seriously and the race to build it is accelerating. The total market capitalization of stablecoins has already surpassed $322 billion as of May 2026, exceeding the foreign exchange reserves of more than 95 nations. Tether and Circle alone are estimated to have purchased tens of billions of dollars’ worth of U.S. Treasuries in recent years, a scale that some analysts say rivals or even exceeds the increase in Treasury holdings by countries such as Japan, Singapore, and Norway. Stablecoins have already become a force that shapes international capital flows and monetary policy.

And this competition is about far more than regulatory housekeeping. At its core, it is a geopolitical contest over which nation's currency will serve as the foundation of the next generation of digital payment networks.

United States: Building the Architecture to Defend Dollar Dominance

The GENIUS Act passed the Senate 68–30 on June 17, 2025, cleared the House 308–122 on July 17, and was signed into law by President Trump the following day, making it the first comprehensive federal regulatory framework for stablecoins in U.S. history.

The rules are clear: issuers must maintain 100% reserve backing in U.S. dollars or short-term Treasuries with maturities of 93 days or less, and commingling of reserve assets with operational funds is strictly prohibited. Yield-bearing stablecoins are explicitly banned, constraining revenue models but help to ensure wider financial system stability (bank deposits operate on a fractional reserve model, and pay out less interest than 1:1 reserve deposits, which would then implicate the banking credit system which fuels home mortgages, business loans, etc.) .

One key driver behind Washington's urgency is structural: because issuers hold Treasuries as reserves, growth in the stablecoin market translates directly into demand for U.S. government debt. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has projected that, with the right regulatory framework in place, the stablecoin market could grow to $3.7 trillion by the end of the decade.

The FDIC published its proposed rules for stablecoin issuers covering capital, liquidity, and custody standards, opening a 60-day public comment period. With legislation in place and regulators now issuing detailed rules, the U.S. stablecoin framework is moving through its full cycle: law → rulemaking → enforcement.

EU: MiCA and the "Digital Euro Defense Line"

The EU is one of the first regions in the world to establish a comprehensive regulatory framework for crypto assets. MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) began applying its stablecoin-related provisions in June 2024, with full implementation, including rules for crypto asset service providers, taking effect in December of that year. Under MiCA, stablecoins are classified as either e-money tokens (EMTs) or asset-referenced tokens (ARTs), with issuers required to obtain authorization, maintain reserve assets, guarantee redemption at par value, and meet disclosure obligations. In practice, this has made it significantly harder for models lacking adequate reserves or redemption mechanisms to operate in the EU market.

Yet even with the framework in place, the market has yet to respond in kind. Euro-denominated stablecoins account for less than 1% of global stablecoin supply, and dollar-backed assets continue to dominate overwhelmingly. Alarmed by this reality, a group of major European financial institutions launched Qivalis, an Amsterdam-based consortium with the explicit goal of issuing a fully MiCA-compliant euro stablecoin. What began as a nine-bank initiative - comprising ING, UniCredit, CaixaBank, Danske Bank, DekaBank, Banca Sella, KBC, SEB, and Raiffeisen Bank International - has since expanded significantly, with BNP Paribas and others joining the effort. As of May 2026, the consortium has grown to include 37 financial institutions.

Adding another layer of complexity is the consortium's relationship with the European Central Bank. ECB leadership, including President Christine Lagarde, has warned that reliance on private stablecoins - and dollar-denominated ones in particular - poses risks to financial stability, monetary policy transmission, and European monetary sovereignty, and has made the case for a centrally issued digital euro under ECB oversight. Commercial banks, meanwhile, harbor their own concerns: a retail CBDC could draw customer deposits away from bank accounts and into central bank money, draining liquidity from the banking system. The result is a region that leads the world in regulatory architecture, yet finds itself caught between competing visions of who should control the next generation of digital money.

United Kingdom: Can the Pound Reclaim Its Relevance?

The absence of a pound-denominated stablecoin has long been identified as a gap in the UK's financial infrastructure, with growing criticism that the country has failed to capitalize on global demand for sterling.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is addressing this through a phased approach. An interim Supplementary Regime came into force on May 7, 2026, strengthening existing payment service regulations and raising compliance and reporting requirements. A final Post-Repeal Regime modeled on the Client Assets Sourcebook (CASS) is planned for the future, though no timeline has been confirmed.

The FCA is also introducing a new registration regime for crypto asset service providers, including stablecoin issuers, with implementation expected in Q3 2026. If a sterling-backed stablecoin gains widespread circulation, it could mark a pivotal moment for the UK's financial services industry.

China: Banning Private Crypto While Quietly Building Its Own Rails

China's approach is unlike any other. Private crypto assets remain banned on the mainland, and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) does not permit the issuance or circulation of private stablecoins. But behind that wall, a state-led experiment of enormous scale is underway.

In January 2026, the PBOC began paying interest on digital yuan (e-CNY) balances at an annual rate of 0.05%, a strategic move to evolve the e-CNY from a simple payment instrument into a financial product capable of competing with private stablecoins.

On the international settlement front, Project mBridge - a cross-border CBDC platform connecting the central banks of China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia - has now processed over $55 billion in cumulative transactions, with approximately 95% of settlement volume denominated in digital yuan.

According to the Atlantic Council, mBridge is not designed to directly challenge dollar dominance, but it may incrementally erode it across specific corridors, sectors, and use cases. China's strategy is clear: internationalize the yuan through digital infrastructure, without opening its capital account or legalizing private crypto markets at home.

Hong Kong: The Institutional Hub Bridging the Chinese Sphere and Global Markets

Hong Kong is at the forefront of stablecoin regulation in Asia, operating under a distinct legal framework that is separate from mainland China. In May 2025, the Hong Kong Legislative Council passed the Stablecoins Ordinance, which came into effect on August 1 of the same year. Administered by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), the regime requires a license for the issuance of fiat-referenced stablecoins, with obligations covering adequate reserve backing, guaranteed redemption rights, and strict AML and KYC standards.

Since the regime took effect, major financial institutions and Web3 companies have moved quickly to enter the market. A consortium including HSBC, Standard Chartered, Hong Kong Telecommunications, and Animoca Brands is advancing plans for a Hong Kong dollar-denominated stablecoin, and the HKMA's licensing review process is now in full swing.

Hong Kong's role, however, extends well beyond that of a regional financial hub. While mainland China bans private stablecoins entirely, Hong Kong functions as an institutional interface connecting the Chinese sphere with global digital financial markets; operating in the space that the mainland cannot, or will not, occupy directly. The fact that Hong Kong serves as a key node in Project mBridge is itself a symbol of this strategic position: a bridge between state-controlled digital currency infrastructure and the broader, market-driven ecosystem beyond.

Japan: The Country That Moved First - Where Does It Stand Now?

Japan is among the first major economies to bring stablecoins under a formal legal framework. Amendments to the Payment Services Act limit the issuance of yen-denominated stablecoins to banks, trust companies, and licensed funds-transfer service providers, subject to strict reserve, custody, and redemption obligations.

※ The FSA expressed negative views on stablecoin issuance by banks in its public comment process, meaning that in practice, bank issuance is not permitted.

Private sector activity is now accelerating under this framework. In October 2025, JPYC Inc., a non-bank registered funds-transfer service provider, became the first to issue a fully regulated yen-backed stablecoin in Japan. Building on this foundation, SBI Holdings and Startale Group have signed a memorandum of understanding to co-develop a regulated yen-denominated stablecoin, targeting a Q2 2026 launch. Issuance and redemption will be handled by SBI Shinsei Trust & Banking, with a focus on cross-border settlement and tokenized asset markets. Since Startale is also developing a dollar-denominated stablecoin (USDSC) in parallel, the vision is a "complementary currency stack" - yen and dollar rails working together to power a 24/7 tokenized securities exchange.

Meanwhile, Japan's three megabanks, MUFG, SMBC, and Mizuho, are jointly developing trust-type yen stablecoins through the Progmat platform. This project is being developed within the framework of the "Payment Innovation Project," established under the FinTech Proof-of-Concept Hub set up by the FSA. Japan's approach aims to combine regulatory clarity with the institutional weight of its major financial players, striking a balance between practicality and safety.

South Korea: Presidential Ambition Meets Bureaucratic Reality

South Korea presents a textbook case of political will colliding with institutional friction. President Lee Jae-myung has made the development of a Korean won-backed stablecoin a national priority, framing it as a direct response to the dominance of U.S. dollar-linked stablecoins in global crypto markets.

Yet the legislative process has stalled. The Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Bank of Korea (BOK) remain at odds over supervisory authority and the management of reserve assets, forcing a delay in the submission of the comprehensive Digital Asset Basic Act into 2026. The deadlock reflects a deeper philosophical divide: the FSC prioritizes innovation, while the central bank is focused on financial stability and monetary sovereignty.

The private sector, however, is not waiting. Major banks are exploring consortia for won-pegged stablecoins, and BC Card has already completed a pilot for stablecoin payments targeting foreign visitors. On the institutional side, listed companies and professional investors are now permitted to allocate up to 5% of annual equity capital to digital assets under guidelines that took effect in early 2026. If the regulatory framework catches up, South Korea has the potential to rapidly emerge as one of Asia's leading stablecoin markets.

Singapore: The Most "Pragmatic" Hub

Singapore is one of the countries that most skillfully balances regulatory rigor with practical utility. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) published its Single-Currency Stablecoin (SCS) framework in August 2023, setting out requirements for stablecoins pegged to the Singapore dollar or G10 currencies, including 1:1 backing by high-quality liquid assets, prompt redemption capabilities, and compliance with AML and KYC standards. Only stablecoins that meet these requirements may carry the "MAS-regulated stablecoin" label, creating a trust-based distinction that regulation itself makes possible. MAS is now widely recognized as one of the leading regulatory authorities shaping the global conversation on digital asset regulation.

On the private sector side, XSGD, a Singapore dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by StraitsX, has established itself as the leading SGD-denominated stablecoin aligned with the MAS framework and is widely used in practice. Meanwhile, a growing number of major banks are coming to view tokenized deposits, rather than stablecoins, as the primary infrastructure for next-generation payments, and competition over standardization in this space is intensifying. Through initiatives such as Project Guardian, MAS has taken a leading role in running proof-of-concept experiments that span tokenized deposits, CBDCs, and regulated stablecoins for cross-border payments and asset tokenization. In doing so, it is positioning itself as the central convener of the global conversation on digital financial infrastructure — one that cuts across both stablecoins and tokenized deposits alike.

What sets Singapore apart, beyond the rigor of its rules, is its emphasis on international interoperability. MAS has been proactive in coordinating with regulators and financial institutions across jurisdictions, and its vision extends to a multi-currency digital financial infrastructure that encompasses the dollar, euro, yen, and beyond without favoring any single currency bloc. It is precisely this currency-neutral approach that defines Singapore's strength as a global financial hub, and distinguishes it from jurisdictions that are, whether explicitly or not, building infrastructure in service of their own monetary interests.

Dubai & UAE: Turning Regulation Into Competitive Advantage

Dubai and the UAE have been among the most proactive jurisdictions in the world when it comes to building a stablecoin regulatory framework. AE Coin - the UAE's first regulated dirham-backed stablecoin - was formally launched in early 2025 by a consortium that includes First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) and government-linked entities, following approval from the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE).

VARA's updated rulebook took effect on June 19, 2025, introducing tighter standards on capital, custody, and disclosure. In August of the same year, VARA and the UAE's federal Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) signed a mutual recognition framework, effectively creating a single regulatory surface across all seven emirates.

AE Coin is now accepted at 980 ADNOC fuel stations across the country, and by 2025, approximately 3% of Dubai's off-plan real estate transactions were already being settled in crypto. The UAE has made regulatory clarity its primary competitive advantage and it is working, attracting crypto firms and financial institutions from around the world.

Where Is the Geopolitics of Money Headed?

What looks on the surface like a global wave of regulatory activity is, in its essence, a contest over monetary sovereignty. Which nation's currency will serve as the reserve asset of the next generation of payment rails - the dollar, the euro, the yen, the won, the dirham, or the digital yuan? The answer will shape the international financial order for decades to come.

Stablecoins are no longer treated as crypto assets. They are regulated payment instruments and the countries that write the rules first, and embed their own currencies into global digital payment networks, will be the ones that hold the keys to the next financial era. That race has already begun.

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